| Nov 20 |
Capacity will be permanently reduced. |
| Nov 20 |
Labor markets are mending more quickly in the developing world. |
| Nov 20 |
The dollar strengthened and Treasuries declined. |
| Nov 20 |
State labor markets are slowly regaining traction, but improvement is uneven. |
| Nov 20 | Uncertainty Haunts Credit Markets
As go the banks, so goes the rest of the economy.
|
| Nov 20 | U.S. Economic Preview: November 23-27
Growth data are likely to have a mixed tone. |
| Nov 20 |
The dollar has appreciated sharply against the pound. |
| Nov 19 |
More evidence that small businesses bore the brunt of the recession's fury. |
| Nov 19 |
Treasuries and the dollar rose amid risk aversion. |
| Nov 19 |
The job market remains a threat, particularly regarding bank credit cards. |
| Nov 19 |
States with the largest housing bubbles face the greatest risks. |
| Nov 19 |
But the pace of the rebound will slow as temporary supports are removed. |
| Nov 19 |
A slow turn in the inventory cycle adds downside risk to the forecast. |
| Nov 19 |
The total number of workers on UI benefit rolls continues to swell. |
| Nov 19 |
The dollar is mixed against the major currencies. |
| Nov 18 |
The dollar and Treasuries were mixed. |
| Nov 18 |
St. Louis Fed president's comments were less dovish than investors first thought. |
| Nov 18 | As Federal Support Fades, Spending Faces Test
Stimulus measures have kept consumer spending from falling rapidly. |
| Nov 18 |
Gains in real residential investment will be smaller this quarter. |
| Nov 18 |
Labor market slack and high vacancy rates will push core inflation lower. |
| Nov 18 | U.S. Regional Outlook: The Shape of Recovery
The North Central and Southeast regions may lead the nation back from recession. |
| Nov 18 |
The dollar reversed most of Tuesday's gains against the major currencies. |
| Nov 17 |
The dollar firmed and Treasuries gained. |
| Nov 17 |
Foreign appetite is recovering |
| Nov 17 |
Small banks remain financially stressed by commercial real estate loans. |
| Nov 17 |
With little positive news, construction expectations remain weak. |
| Nov 17 |
A minor change to discount window loans does not signal that rate hikes are imminent. |
| Nov 17 |
Early indications are that output will resume growing in November. |
| Nov 17 |
A rise in prices at earlier stages of production does not pose a near-term threat. |
| Nov 17 |
Treasury prices are lower, giving back a bit of Monday's gains. |
| Nov 16 |
Inflation looks stable despite an uptick in market-based gauges. |
| Nov 16 |
The dollar fell, boosting interest in commodities and Treasuries. |
| Nov 16 |
Recovery has taken hold, but challenges remain. |
| Nov 16 |
Our tracking estimate has fallen to 2.8% for the September quarter. |
| Nov 16 |
Manufacturing's recovery has plenty of momentum. |
| Nov 16 |
Large revisions to September's data lower the tracking estimate for third-quarter GDP. |
| Nov 16 | U.S. Chartbook: Global Recovery Takes Shape
Manufacturing and fading risk aversion bolster prospects for a sustained recovery. |
| Nov 16 |
The dollar is depreciating against the major currencies, adding to two weeks of declines. |
| Nov 13 |
Natural gas prices continue to tumble. |
| Nov 13 |
The dollar lost ground. |
| Nov 13 | Obama to Push Trade Policy in Asia
But the dollar's depreciation looms over the President's visit to the region. |
| Nov 13 | U.S. Economic Preview: November 16-20
Reports will show the pickup persisted into the fourth quarter. |
| Nov 13 |
Third-quarter real GDP growth is tracking 3.1%, down from the initial 3.5% estimate. |
| Nov 13 | Is the U.S. Job Market Near a Turning Point?
Employment may stabilize soon. But a V-shaped rebound isn't likely. |
| Nov 13 |
Stable inflation expectations are Fed-friendly. |
| Nov 13 |
Biggest threat is if higher import prices drive inflation expectations higher. |
| Nov 13 |
A slew of data will influence trading. |
| Nov 12 |
Treasuries and the dollar benefit from risk aversion. |
| Nov 12 |
It now seems less likely that consumer spending has accelerated. |
| Nov 12 |
But investors balk at the auctions of longer maturities. |
| Nov 12 | Save the Econosphere!
Like the tree-hugging pioneers of environmentalism, someone needs to block the market's bulldozers. |
| Nov 12 |
While improving, jobless claims remain uncomfortably high. |
| Nov 12 |
Geithner's call for a strong dollar moved currency markets overnight. |
| Nov 11 |
The dollar and commodities also gained. |
| Nov 11 |
Price pressures are virtually nil. |
| Nov 11 |
China hints that it might be ready to revalue the yuan. |
| Nov 11 |
HAMP needs to reach more homeowners, or rising foreclosures will worsen the outlook. |
| Nov 11 |
A global recovery has begun but not at a pace sufficient to withdraw fiscal support. |
| Nov 11 |
The dollar has fallen, while commodities prices have gained. |
| Nov 10 | U.S. Macro Outlook: Less Than Graceful
Policymakers must stay aggressive to keep the fragile recovery from unraveling. |
| Nov 10 |
Stocks, Treasuries and the dollar all drifted throughout the day. |
| Nov 10 |
Policymakers are concerned about a potentially jobless recovery and CRE troubles. |
| Nov 10 | Economic Conditions Ripe for Currency Volatility
U.S. officials face growing international pressure to support the greenback. |
| Nov 10 |
Falling commercial paper spreads signal investors are looking to take on more risk. |
| Nov 10 |
The agency is using its clout to influence policy ahead of the Copenhagen meeting. |
| Nov 10 |
Hires, separations and job openings were little changed in September. |
| Nov 10 |
Small firms played a minimal role in the recent moderation in payroll declines. |
| Nov 10 | U.S. Vehicle Sales: The New Normal
Demographics, income and credit conditions all point to a slower sales pace. |
| Nov 10 |
Treasury yields are still falling. |
| Nov 9 |
Restrictive lending conditions remain a major hurdle for spending and job creation. |
| Nov 9 |
The dollar struggled, boosting commodities, while Treasuries held their ground. |
| Nov 9 |
Small businesses face a credit crunch that will slow recovery in the labor market. |
| Nov 9 | U.S. Chartbook: Recovery Hits a Speed Bump
Unemployment is now likely to peak at a quarterly average of 10.7%, and 11% on a monthly basis. |
| Nov 9 |
The latest House proposal might be a tough pill to swallow. |
| Nov 9 |
Treasury yields rise ahead of this week's auctions. |
| Nov 6 |
Economic data are losing their power to drive asset prices higher. |
| Nov 6 |
Safe-haven shifts affected the Treasury, currency and commodity markets. |
| Nov 6 | Jobless Rise Demands More Policy Action
The recovery in employment stalled as small firms increased layoffs. |
| Nov 6 | U.S. Economic Preview: November 9-13
Looking for 3% growth this quarter. |
| Nov 6 |
Oil prices steady near $80 this week. |
| Nov 6 |
Third-quarter real GDP growth is tracking at 3.3% after the report. |
| Nov 6 |
The labor market needs to crawl before it can walk. |
| Nov 6 |
Gold is climbing, while the dollar has depreciated. |
| Nov 5 |
The dollar and Treasuries flat-lined. |
| Nov 5 |
Another difficult month, but signs of improvement are emerging. |
| Nov 5 |
Consumer spending this quarter will slow but should not decline. |
| Nov 5 |
Deep job cuts and wage curbs hurt consumer spending but lay a path for hiring and wage growth. |
| Nov 5 |
Workers are being laid off at the slowest pace in nearly a year, but few firms are hiring. |
| Nov 5 |
Monetary policy announcements overseas hit currency markets. |
| Nov 4 |
The dollar fell, boosting commodity appeal and prices. |
| Nov 4 |
Expect larger Treasury note and bond auctions next year. |
| Nov 4 |
The cut in agency purchases may be meant to prepare markets for the Fed's eventual mop-up. |
| Nov 4 |
Policymakers will be reluctant to hike rates with the unemployment rate rising. |
| Nov 4 |
Our index shows 11 states have returned to growth. |
| Nov 4 |
Business activity and new orders were solid, but employment remained weak. |
| Nov 4 |
We maintain our forecast for a drop of 175,000 in October nonfarm employment. |
| Nov 4 |
The dollar slid, while gold pushed higher. |
| Nov 3 |
Improvement may help limit the decline in real durable spending this quarter. |
| Nov 3 |
Gold hit a new high, and Treasury prices were lower at the long end of the curve. |
| Nov 3 |
Issuance remains light during earnings season, and failures have dampened moods. |
| Nov 3 | FOMC Preview: Looking for Direction
Rising unemployment will keep policy rates on hold until late 2010. |
| Nov 3 |
Third quarter GDP growth is tracking 3.1% after the factory orders report. |
| Nov 3 | U.S. Can't Afford to Punt on Deficit Reduction
Obama needs to outline future spending cuts and tax increases now. |
| Nov 3 |
The dollar has strengthened while the price of gold rises. |
| Nov 3 | U.S. Chartbook: The Landscape of Recovery
Third-quarter growth showed promise but isn't guaranteed to continue. |
| Nov 2 |
Treasuries faltered, while the dollar was mixed. |
| Nov 2 |
Spending on private nonresidential building declines. |
| Nov 2 |
Expectations for a better jobs number build as the employment index jumps. |
| Nov 2 |
Improvement has partly hinged on the first-time homebuyer tax credit. |
| Nov 2 | As the Rich Recover, Will They Take the Economy Along?
High-income households drive total consumer spending. |
| Nov 2 |
Government may need to increase aid to protect the fragile recovery. |
| Nov 2 |
Commodity prices are rising solidly as the dollar falls and China expands. |
| Oct 30 | Who Cares About Federal Economic Statistics?
Those who collect the data we need need our help. |
| Oct 30 |
The real number will never be known, but the stimulus is working. |
| Oct 30 |
A return to safe havens was the theme. |
| Oct 30 | U.S. Economic Preview: November 2-6
Awaiting confirmation that the pickup can persist. |
| Oct 30 |
The price of oil slipped amid concerns about the economic recovery. |
| Oct 30 |
Increase in auto production helps push the ISM-Chicago above 50. |
| Oct 30 |
Rising unemployment and gas prices are weighing on consumers' moods. |
| Oct 30 | China Can't Solve the U.S. Dollar's Problems
Excess liquidity and diversification by global investors are behind the greenback's depreciation. |
| Oct 30 |
U.S. consumers can't count on fatter paychecks to fuel spending. |
| Oct 30 |
Government transfer payments helped put a floor under personal income. |
| Oct 30 |
The greenback has strengthened, and commodities prices have fallen. |
| Oct 29 |
Many countries are now acting to limit currency appreciation. |
| Oct 29 |
Labor issues and local incentives still draw production from traditional hubs. |
| Oct 29 |
Treasuries and the dollar slipped on reduced risk aversion. |
| Oct 29 |
Massive inventory liquidation will give way to stronger production. |
| Oct 29 |
The homeowner vacancy rate is down from its peak, but excess units still weigh on the market. |
| Oct 29 |
The advance third quarter GDP confirms that growth has resumed. |
| Oct 29 |
Initial claims have been gradually heading downward over the past six months. |
| Oct 29 |
Investors await third quarter GDP estimate. |
| Oct 28 |
Treasuries and the dollar benefited from risk aversion. |
| Oct 28 |
Anchored expectations are needed for the Fed to keep rates unchanged. |
| Oct 28 |
The report reinforces other signs of a lull in the housing recovery. |
| Oct 28 | Learning to Live with Banks Too Big to Fail
Giant financial institutions are a reality. Smart regulation can deal with it. |
| Oct 28 |
Equipment investment should start to rise in the months ahead. |
| Oct 28 |
Treasuries rise ahead of a big auction. |
| Oct 27 |
Treasuries were broadly higher. |
| Oct 27 |
The housing recovery begins to have positive effects on income. |
| Oct 27 |
Last week's selloff in equities didn't carry over to corporate bonds. |
| Oct 27 |
Seasonal adjustments push confidence lower; labor market details are still troubling. |
| Oct 27 |
Prices may resume declining after the first-time homebuyer tax credit expires. |
| Oct 27 |
The dollar is steady against the euro and yen. |
| Oct 26 |
The dollar strengthened. |
| Oct 26 |
Yet core inflation will soften well into next year, and expectations are anchored. |
| Oct 26 |
Policymakers will be watching bank lending closely. |
| Oct 26 | U.S. Chartbook: Moving Forward Without Confidence
The recovery is not being sparked by the consumer. |
| Oct 26 |
Gold and copper are climbing as the dollar sinks and China booms. |
| Oct 23 |
Natural gas prices will remain near current levels. |
| Oct 23 |
The dollar firmed, but Treasuries struggled. |
| Oct 23 | Tax Credit Lifts Home Sales, But Not Enough
Congress should extend and expand support for the troubled housing market. |
| Oct 23 |
The economy faces a number of hurdles before recovery becomes expansion. |
| Oct 23 | U.S. Economic Preview: October 26-30
Recovery is front and center. |
| Oct 23 |
Sales will decline sharply in December unless Washington extends the tax credit. |
| Oct 23 |
Fed chairman supports a council to oversee systemic risks. |
| Oct 23 |
The dollar has risen against the pound. |
| Oct 22 |
The dollar firmed, while commodities slipped. |
| Oct 22 |
The FHFA report indicates there is still no upward momentum. |
| Oct 22 |
The Conference Board gauge continued to rebound, rising 1% in September. |
| Oct 22 |
Initial claims have decreased noticeably in recent months. |
| Oct 22 | U.S. Holiday Sales Will Not Drive Recovery
Sales will not plunge again, but spending will scarcely increase. |
| Oct 22 |
The dollar has risen against major currencies. |
United States
